Crypto

Solana Co-Founder Highlights 50/50 Chance of Quantum Tech Breaking Bitcoin in Five Years

Solana Co-Founder Highlights Quantum Computing’s Threat to Bitcoin Security

In a recent discussion at the All-In Summit 2025, Anatoly Yakovenko, the co-founder of Solana (SOL), raised concerns about the looming threat posed by quantum computing to Bitcoin’s (BTC) security. Yakovenko emphasized that there is a “50/50” probability that, over the next five years, quantum computers might advance to a level where they can breach the cryptographic defenses safeguarding Bitcoin wallets.

Call for Quantum-Resistant Measures

Yakovenko strongly advocated for the adoption of a quantum-resistant signature system for Bitcoin, underscoring the necessity to protect its future amidst rapid technological advancements. He remarked, “We need to transition Bitcoin to a quantum-resistant signature system. That’s my bet, because right now there’s a convergence of many technologies. The asymptotic pace of AI and how quickly it accelerates from research paper to implementation is simply astounding.”

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Confidence in Bitcoin’s Resilience

Despite the potential risks, Yakovenko expressed optimism about Bitcoin’s ability to endure, provided it remains in a landscape of global competition free from restrictive regulation. Drawing parallels to the 1970s gold ownership restrictions, he asserted that Bitcoin could withstand significant disruptions as long as it stays accessible to the public.

Appreciation for Bitcoin’s Design

Yakovenko lauded Bitcoin’s architecture, praising its straightforward and settlement-focused design. He described its proof-of-work mechanism as “a masterpiece in terms of elegance and simplicity.”

Diverse Opinions on the Quantum Threat

The cryptocurrency community is divided on the immediacy of the quantum threat. As reported by Finbold, some experts, including Blockstream CEO Adam Back and Bitcoin Core contributor Peter Todd, believe that practical quantum computers capable of compromising Bitcoin’s elliptic-curve signatures are still a distant reality, though they agree that preparations should begin.

Contrastingly, quantum security specialists like Chris Erven caution that such technological advancements may emerge within five years, advocating for swifter adoption of post-quantum cryptographic solutions.

Skepticism of Immediate Threats

Meanwhile, Michael Saylor from Strategy has downplayed the quantum computing concerns as exaggerated, arguing that more immediate issues such as phishing attacks and software vulnerabilities require urgent attention.

Advancements in Quantum Technology

Concerns over the quantum threat have grown as technology companies make strides in this domain. For example, Google’s development of a 105-qubit “Willow” processor marks significant progress in error reduction and scalability. Additionally, academic research has demonstrated that algorithms like Shor’s and Grover’s could potentially compromise Bitcoin’s cryptographic security in the future.

Conclusion

As the debate continues, the cryptocurrency community watches closely as technological advancements unfold. Whether quantum computing will soon pose a realistic threat to Bitcoin remains uncertain, but the need for preparedness is clear. As the digital currency landscape evolves, safeguarding Bitcoin’s future will require vigilance and innovation in cryptographic security.
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Emma Horvath

After graduating Communication and Media Studies MA in Eötvös Loránd University, Emma started to realize that her childhood dream as a creative news reporter committed to find dynamic journalism stories. I'm a passionate journalist with a keen interest in the fast-evolving world of cryptocurrencies. I've been reporting on the latest developments in the crypto industry for several years now, covering breaking news and providing insights on how the market is trending. I'm adept at analyzing daily market movements, researching ICOs, and keeping track of the latest innovations in blockchain technology. My expertise in the space makes her a trusted voice in the crypto community. Whether it's the latest Bitcoin price movements or the launch of a new DeFi platform, I am always at the forefront, bringing her readers the most up-to-date and informative news.

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