XRP Price Forecast: Potential for Further Decline
Experts in the trading sector have issued a cautionary note regarding XRP, suggesting that the digital asset might encounter another significant sell-off. Technical analysis indicates a potential move towards the $1.40 range in the upcoming months. This projection follows a prolonged bearish trend, which XRP has experienced since its peak in mid-July 2025.
The Persistent Bear Cycle
An in-depth evaluation by TradingShot highlights that XRP has been entrenched in a bearish cycle, characterized by a consistent pattern of lower highs and lower lows. As revealed in a TradingView post dated January 23, the daily chart analysis positions XRP within a well-defined descending channel, indicating a sustained downward trend that has influenced market expectations.
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Struggles with Key Moving Averages
In recent weeks, XRP has faced challenges in reclaiming crucial moving averages, particularly the 200-day moving average (MA), which often acts as a critical indicator of trend direction. Each attempt to surpass this level has been met with resistance, further intensifying bearish momentum and suggesting a continuation of the current trend rather than an imminent reversal. The formation of a lower high in early January 2026 marks the commencement of a new downward trajectory within the prevailing bearish pattern.
XRP’s Critical Support Levels
Another aspect of TradingShot’s analysis emphasizes XRP’s reliance on long-term support around the 100-week MA. Historically, this level has served as a buffer during market declines. However, past patterns indicate that breaching this support could lead to accelerated losses, with potential declines aligning with a move towards the $1.40–$1.45 zone. If XRP fails to overcome key daily moving averages and the weekly support, the downward trend may persist into late February 2026, targeting the lower boundary of the descending channel at approximately $1.40.
Current Market Position and Technical Indicators
As of the latest market update, XRP is trading at $1.91, reflecting a correction of over 2% in the past 24 hours. On a weekly basis, the asset is also underperforming, with a decline exceeding 7%. Presently, XRP remains below its key moving averages, reinforcing a negative technical outlook. The 50-day simple moving average near $2 acts as immediate resistance, while the higher 200-day SMA around $2.50 highlights a more entrenched bearish trend.
Momentum indicators, such as the 14-day RSI at approximately 44, suggest a neutral stance. This implies that while bearish momentum exists, it is not excessive, leaving room for potential minor rebounds or further declines.
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