Expert Insights into XRP’s Impressive Q3 Rally
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XRP Surges in Q3 2025: A Promising Rally
In a remarkable display of strength, XRP soared by 31% in the third quarter of 2025, climbing from $2.20 in July to an impressive $2.92 by the end of September. This surge marks one of XRP’s most successful quarters in recent history. For the first time since 2017, XRP closed decisively above a long-standing resistance level, reigniting hopes of a historic breakout reminiscent of its past performance.
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According to analysts like Mikybull, the multi-year inverse head-and-shoulders pattern in XRP’s chart suggests potential for further growth, with short-term targets set at $4.70 and even higher objectives in the longer term.
Uncertain Times as Ripple’s CTO Departs
The unexpected departure of Ripple’s Chief Technology Officer, David Schwartz, has introduced a wave of uncertainty among XRP investors. His exit has sparked a divide in opinions: some traders interpret his final statements as an optimistic nod toward XRP’s potential to rival Bitcoin, while others caution that it might be a signal to lock in profits following the robust Q3 performance.
Amidst this uncertainty, prominent early investors like Crypto Bitlord have suggested it might be prudent to sell, citing potential volatility before the anticipated institutional ETF-driven investments take hold.
Anticipation Builds for an XRP ETF Approval
A significant bullish factor for XRP lies in the growing anticipation of an XRP-focused exchange-traded fund (ETF) approval. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is currently evaluating multiple applications, including one from Grayscale, with decisions expected between October 18 and November 14.
Current prediction markets suggest a 99% probability of approval, potentially paving the way for substantial institutional investment. Analysts speculate that this could propel XRP to new heights, possibly reaching $20–$30 by 2026, akin to the surges witnessed in Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs earlier this year.
On-chain metrics further support this optimism, showing a decrease in exchange reserves as tokens move into self-custody and staking pools. However, with open interest rising to $1.4 billion, the thin options activity leaves leveraged long positions vulnerable if resistance levels are not breached.
Technical Analysis: Critical Levels to Watch
Currently, XRP is trading at $2.94, maintaining a position above the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) of $2.50, while encountering resistance at the 50-day SMA of $2.96. The support zone lies between $2.70 and $2.80, with a potential risk of further downside if sellers drive the price toward $2.50.
Momentum indicators remain neutral, with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) reading of 47, indicating potential for accumulation before any significant price movement. Should XRP manage to close above $2.96 consistently, analysts anticipate a new rally, aiming for $3.65 in the short term and $4.70 as the next major resistance level.
However, failure to surpass this resistance could result in a consolidation phase throughout October, pushing the next breakout attempt to November.
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