Bitcoin’s Journey Nears a Milestone
As Bitcoin (BTC) approaches the much-anticipated $100,000 mark, prominent market voices like Jim Cramer are recommending a “buy” strategy. However, amidst the excitement surrounding Bitcoin, seasoned crypto traders are shifting their gaze towards the potential onset of an Altseason. Historically, after Bitcoin’s substantial price surges, investors have often redirected their focus towards altcoins, suggesting a recurring trend that might unfold yet again. This potential shift is anticipated to commence on an upcoming Sunday.
The Catalyst for Altseason
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Sunday, November 24, marks a significant moment as it completes a trio of consecutive weeks with Bitcoin closing above its previous weekly high. This pattern has been a reliable precursor to Altseason in the past two cycles, as highlighted by the analyst TechDev on platform X. An Altseason is characterized by altcoins outperforming Bitcoin, thereby reducing its dominance in the overall cryptocurrency market cap. Notably, some analysts are now excluding Ethereum (ETH) from the traditional “altcoin” category due to its substantial market capitalization and significance.
Expectations for Altcoin Performance
Trading professionals and cryptocurrency investors are forecasting that mid-to-low-cap altcoins will surpass the performance of market leaders, leading to a more balanced distribution of capital across the crypto landscape. This redistribution of investment could signal a broader acceptance and interest in diverse crypto assets.
The Onset of Altseason: A Pattern Reemerges
TechDev’s observations trace a pattern that dates back to March 2017, where Altseason commenced following three consecutive weekly closures above Bitcoin’s last weekly high. Presently, this pattern is unfolding, with the third consecutive week set to conclude on Sunday night, ushering in the potential for a new Altseason starting Monday. This period could be pivotal for “utility altcoins” recognized for their high growth potential.
Analyzing the Bitcoin Dominance Index (BTC.D)
In correlation with this pattern, TechDev has analyzed the Bitcoin Dominance Index (BTC.D) alongside Bitcoin’s weekly chart, highlighting the beginning of Altseason. As Bitcoin dominance currently retraces, testing the 50-day exponential moving average, this level serves as critical chart support. According to TradingView’s index, Bitcoin presently commands 59.30% of the total cryptocurrency market capitalization. A decline below the 59.50% support level could validate historical trends, signaling the start of Altseason.
Market Movements and Emerging Leaders
Several altcoins have already demonstrated significant gains, setting a precedent for other cryptocurrencies. Notable performers include Solana (SOL), Ripple (XRP), Cardano (ADA), Algorand (ALGO), Hedera (HBAR), Near Protocol (NEAR), and Sui Network (SUI), all of which have outpaced other projects in recent days as capital begins to rotate away from Bitcoin and Ethereum towards these promising lower-cap assets.
Current Trends in Bitcoin Dominance
Recent analysis reveals that Bitcoin’s dominance is experiencing a retracement, having tested critical resistance levels previously forecasted by analyst CrypNuevo on Finbold. The expectation was for Bitcoin’s dominance to peak between 61% and 62% before undergoing a retest and potentially declining. This retest has already occurred this week, and the market is now keenly observing whether BTC.D will deviate from its two-year upward trend, possibly paving the way for an Altseason.
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