Crypto

Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Capitulation Eases: 16.8K BTC Sold at a Loss to Exchanges

Bitcoin’s Record-Breaking Surge and Subsequent Market Dynamics

In an unprecedented move, Bitcoin soared to a new peak of $124,500. This milestone in the cryptocurrency’s remarkable 2025 performance was met with immediate market reactions that pulled the price back, indicating a shift in market dynamics. The recent rally, driven by strong buying momentum, now faces a pivotal moment.

Market Analysts’ Diverse Perspectives

Experts are divided on Bitcoin’s future trajectory. Some suggest that the recent peak might herald a momentum slowdown as traders secure profits after the record-breaking rise. Conversely, others interpret the pullback as merely a temporary pause before a potential surge above $125,000, contingent on renewed buying interest.

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The Role of On-Chain Data in Market Analysis

Insights from CryptoQuant highlight intriguing trends. Short-term holders are currently selling at a loss, but the intensity of this selling has diminished compared to past corrections. This reduced pressure indicates the market’s improved capacity to absorb supply, potentially mitigating short-term downside risks.

Short-Term Holder Selling Pressure Weakens

Renowned market analyst Axel Adler notes a significant shift in the behavior of short-term holders (STH) during Bitcoin’s recent market correction. As prices retreated from the $124,500 peak, approximately 16,800 BTC were offloaded at a loss by STH—a figure notably lower than during previous downturns. Historical data reveals that earlier capitulation events involved larger selling volumes, indicating a gradual reduction in panic-driven exits.

Adler’s on-chain analysis shows a declining trend in STH capitulation selling, marked by diminishing blue arrows on his chart. This reduced selling pressure suggests enhanced resilience among recent buyers and stronger market absorption. The market’s tempered reaction to pullbacks signifies that short-term participants are holding onto their positions with increased conviction.

Despite the cooling of bullish momentum post-record high, Bitcoin’s structural integrity remains robust. Trading above key moving averages indicates sustained market support. Investors appear to be positioning themselves for Bitcoin’s next significant move, whether it involves reclaiming and breaking past $125,000 or entering a consolidation phase to regain momentum.

Bitcoin Tests Support After Rejection at Record Highs

Bitcoin’s 4-hour chart reflects a volatile week, with prices climbing to $124,500 before facing resistance near the $123,217 level. This pullback led BTC to retest the $118,000 zone, where the 200-period SMA (red) provided crucial support, preventing further declines.

Short-term momentum indicators reveal a tentative recovery. The 50-period SMA (blue) remains above the 100-period SMA (green), maintaining the broader bullish trend despite recent selling pressure. However, Bitcoin is consolidating just below $119,000, reflecting market uncertainty ahead of a potential retest of previous highs.

For bullish momentum to resume, reclaiming $120,000 is essential, setting the stage for another push toward the $123,000–$124,500 range. Conversely, a decisive break below $118,000 could pave the way for a deeper retracement, potentially reaching $116,900 or even $115,000.

Although Bitcoin remains in an uptrend on the 4-hour chart, the rejection at all-time highs and subsequent consolidation suggest a cooling phase. Traders will be closely observing for a breakout above resistance to confirm continuation or a breach of support that could shift short-term sentiment towards a bearish outlook.

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Emma Horvath

After graduating Communication and Media Studies MA in Eötvös Loránd University, Emma started to realize that her childhood dream as a creative news reporter committed to find dynamic journalism stories. I'm a passionate journalist with a keen interest in the fast-evolving world of cryptocurrencies. I've been reporting on the latest developments in the crypto industry for several years now, covering breaking news and providing insights on how the market is trending. I'm adept at analyzing daily market movements, researching ICOs, and keeping track of the latest innovations in blockchain technology. My expertise in the space makes her a trusted voice in the crypto community. Whether it's the latest Bitcoin price movements or the launch of a new DeFi platform, I am always at the forefront, bringing her readers the most up-to-date and informative news.

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