
Insightful Analysis: XRP’s Prospective Pathways Amidst Market Challenges
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Potential Outcomes for XRP in the Current Market Scenario
A prominent crypto analyst, Chad, has outlined two potential scenarios that could shape XRP’s future amidst the ongoing downturn in the cryptocurrency market. According to Chad, XRP investors stand to benefit, regardless of which scenario materializes.
Two Possible Scenarios for XRP’s Trajectory
In a recent post, Chad elaborated on two possible outcomes for XRP. The first scenario envisions XRP maintaining its current price level while Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) acquire the entire circulating supply within a year. Conversely, the second scenario suggests a significant surge in XRP’s price, potentially reducing its acquisition rate due to increased costs.
The analyst emphasized that XRP holders are likely to benefit either way. A significant accumulation by ETFs could drive XRP prices upward. Notably, the first ’33 Act XRP ETF recently launched and witnessed substantial inflows. Data from SoSo Value indicates that the Canary XRP fund attracted $245 million on its opening day, followed by $243 million on the second day of trading.
Anticipated launches of additional XRP ETFs, including Franklin Templeton’s expected debut this week following an updated S-1 filing and the removal of a delay amendment, are also on the horizon. Bitwise and 21Shares are likely to follow suit.
Chad suggests that these ETFs are poised to bolster XRP’s value, given the potential influx of new capital into the altcoin’s ecosystem. Institutional investors have already shown considerable interest, as evidenced by the impressive launch performance of the Canary fund, which recorded the highest trading volume and inflows this year.
Evaluating the Impact of ETFs on XRP’s Market Dynamics
In another detailed analysis, Chad unveiled a model predicting the impact of XRP ETFs on the cryptocurrency’s market value. The model projects that 20 ETFs, each seeded with $45 million, could collectively introduce $900 million in inflows, absorbing 1.5% of XRP’s supply. This influx could propel XRP’s price to a range of $10 to $17 within 30 days, with a potential rally to $13 to $24 within 60 days.
Chad also highlighted the likelihood of a supply shock for XRP due to these ETFs. Initially, over-the-counter desks may cover for the ETFs, but they will eventually need to purchase on public exchanges. Currently, the XRP supply available on exchanges is approximately 2.8 billion, a volume Chad anticipates the ETFs will likely acquire.
As of the latest data, XRP is trading at approximately $2.25, showing an upward trend over the past 24 hours, as reported by CoinMarketCap.
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