
US Government’s Hesitant Approach to Bitcoin Investment: An In-Depth Analysis
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Current Stance on Bitcoin Investment by the US Government
In the evolving landscape of cryptocurrency, the United States appears hesitant to make the first move in acquiring Bitcoin. This perspective, shared by crypto entrepreneur Mike Alfred, suggests that the government’s actions will be more reactionary, influenced heavily by external pressures.
Alfred’s comments depict Washington’s strategies as responsive rather than pioneering, leaving the exact timing of their involvement uncertain.
Global Watch: Governments Eyeing Each Other
Alfred predicts that if Bitcoin prices surge, a domino effect among nations might ensue. He anticipates that Bitcoin could reach the monumental price of $1 million by 2033. By this point, he expects most countries to hold Bitcoin either directly or via indirect channels.
Notable figures such as Michael Saylor, Chairman of Strategy, and Brian Armstrong, CEO of Coinbase, have offered more immediate forecasts, suggesting Bitcoin could hit seven figures by 2030 or 2035. These predictions are being leveraged to urge governments into early action.
The Strategic Reserve: A Plan Without a Playbook
In a significant move, former US President Donald Trump signed an executive order in March, establishing a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. The directive called for budget-neutral strategies to build this reserve. However, a solid strategy has yet to be unveiled.
Alex Thorn, an analyst at Galaxy Digital, posits a “strong chance” that the US will formally announce Bitcoin holdings as a strategic asset within the year. Despite this possibility, no official holdings have been disclosed, and the plan remains largely theoretical.
Concerns Over Potential Delays
Industry experts caution against procrastination. Samson Mow, founder of Jan3, warns that the US risks being outpaced by other nations, such as Pakistan, unless it begins acquiring Bitcoin soon.
As of now, Bitcoin trades at $90,952, according to TradingView data. Alfred notes that widespread official recognition of Bitcoin in the US seemed improbable before March’s executive order. However, with mounting global pressure, the race to secure Bitcoin may drive policymakers to reconsider their stance.
Increasing Institutional Involvement
Despite fluctuating prices, institutional interest in Bitcoin is on the rise. Although Bitcoin recently dipped below $95,000, institutional engagement continues to grow. A leading US digital trading platform and a chartered bank have initiated cryptocurrency trading for institutional clients, while the Singapore Exchange’s derivatives arm has launched perpetual futures.
Policy changes have enabled certain companies to introduce crypto exchange-traded products, broadening access. These developments signify that firms are investing in infrastructure and services even amidst price volatility.
Bitcoin’s supply concentration is becoming more pronounced. Corporations now command approximately 14% of the 21 million Bitcoin supply through product offerings and corporate holdings. This figure excludes significant holdings by miners, sovereign nations like El Salvador, and assets within decentralized finance protocols, suggesting an even greater concentration.
As supply becomes increasingly clustered, liquidity could tighten, prompting governments to consider adding Bitcoin to their reserves to stay competitive.
Observing the Market Dynamics
Alfred’s insights imply that the US is adopting a wait-and-see approach to Bitcoin acquisition. The government seems inclined to observe other countries’ initiatives before embarking on its own Bitcoin collection efforts. Currently, the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve remains more of a conceptual plan than an active venture.
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