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Analyzing Bitcoin’s Stagnant Price Dynamics in November
The opening weeks of November have seen Bitcoin exhibiting a lackluster price performance. Having slipped below the crucial $100,000 support level, Bitcoin now finds itself navigating around another significant price point at $95,000. As Bitcoin struggles to reclaim its upward trajectory, recent on-chain analytics suggest potential bullish signals in the near future.
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Will Bitcoin’s Price Rebound in December?
According to a recent update on the CryptoQuant platform, XWIN Research Japan has highlighted the possibility of Bitcoin reclaiming its previous highs soon. The analytics firm underscored a consistent trend of increasing stablecoin exchange reserves, which historically precedes substantial price surges. Notable instances include the July 2025 scenario, where a surge in stablecoin liquidity coincided with Bitcoin’s sideways movement at $100,000. Subsequently, Bitcoin broke past its resistance, reaching approximately $110,000.
A similar pattern emerged from mid-August to late September, where exchange reserves grew by over $8 billion within 30 days. Bitcoin initially showed minimal directional momentum, but by late September, it surged to an all-time high of $126,000. The final days of September and early October witnessed another significant stablecoin accumulation phase, preceding Bitcoin’s ascent to its peak price before a mid-October downturn.
Despite the apparent association between stablecoin accumulation and Bitcoin price movements, XWIN Research noted the challenge in predicting exact price reactions. Historical data shows that sometimes the market reacts swiftly within days, while in other instances, it takes weeks. However, the upcoming December FOMC meeting could potentially trigger a reactivation of dormant liquidity, given the record-high stablecoin reserves observed in 2025.
Bitcoin’s Position Below the 365-Day Moving Average: Potential Challenges Ahead
In another analysis shared on X, CryptoQuant’s head of research, Julio Moreno, offered a less optimistic outlook for Bitcoin. Moreno pointed out that Bitcoin has fallen below its 365-day moving average of $102,000, suggesting a possible onset of a bearish trend. According to historical patterns, recovering from such a dip is notably challenging.
Currently, Bitcoin may be eyeing the $92,000 and $72,000 support levels. Nonetheless, a significant influx of demand could shift the market sentiment, potentially leading to a remarkable turnaround for the cryptocurrency. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is valued at approximately $96,050, with minimal changes over the past 24 hours.
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