XRP’s Anticipated Volatility: A Spooky October Conclusion
XRP is gearing up for a potentially tumultuous end to October, with AI predictions from Finbold suggesting the token could experience a notable drop by the time Halloween arrives.
The Critical Timeframe: October 23–31
This prediction period, spanning from October 23 to October 31, perfectly aligns with Halloween, a fittingly eerie backdrop considering XRP’s recent performance struggles. The cryptocurrency has endured a significant 15.7% decline over the past month, plagued by low capital inflows and delays in ETF approvals, which have left traders in a state of apprehension.
Advertisement Banner
XRP’s Recent Price Movements
In a modest bid to recover, XRP has increased by 1.06% over the last 24 hours, reaching $2.41. Yet, it still lags behind the broader cryptocurrency market, which has seen a 1.26% rise. This slight uptick follows a challenging month where XRP lost nearly 16%. This decrease was influenced by speculation surrounding ETFs, macroeconomic challenges, and technical market adjustments.
XRP Market Dynamics
The current landscape remains uncertain. The U.S. government shutdown has led to delays in the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) review of 155 pending cryptocurrency ETF applications, including 20 proposals directly associated with XRP.
Market analysts suggest that once the shutdown concludes, the SEC may approve these products in groups, following a pattern similar to the introduction of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs. For XRP, now classified as a non-security, such approval could unlock substantial institutional interest, akin to Bitcoin’s $150 billion ETF inflows.
Key Dates and Deadlines
Attention is now focused on October 29, the SEC’s impending deadline for Grayscale’s XRP ETF application. Despite the agency’s current inactivity, the subsequent pace of decision-making post-shutdown could significantly influence XRP’s short-term direction.
XRP Technical Analysis
On-chain data reveals mixed signals. Analyst Ali Martinez observes that XRP is gradually moving toward the $2 mark, a critical level that could serve as the next support target.
Recently, XRP recovered from an oversold Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 37.8 and tested its 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $2.38. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram at -0.007 indicates that bearish pressure is diminishing, although trading volume remains low, declining by nearly 17% within 24 hours.
Traders have taken advantage of dips around $2.30; however, resistance is still strong at $2.50, corresponding to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. A breakthrough above this resistance could pave the way to $2.73, whereas failing to maintain support at $2.30 might lead to a decline toward $2.10.
AI-Driven XRP Price Prediction for Halloween 2025
In this uncertain environment, Finbold’s AI prediction agent provides insights for the Halloween timeframe (October 23–31). By integrating data from Claude Sonnet 4, GPT-4o, and Grok 3, the AI forecasts an average XRP price of $2.28, suggesting a potential decrease of around 5.3% from current levels.
The most pessimistic model, Claude Sonnet 4, predicts a drop to $2.15 (-10.8%), while GPT-4o anticipates a more moderate decline to $2.35 (-2.5%).
Technical indicators support these cautious forecasts. XRP recently rebounded from oversold conditions (RSI at 37.8) and briefly tested its 20-day SMA around $2.38. However, the MACD histogram at -0.007 indicates that bearish momentum persists. Additionally, trading volume, down nearly 17% in 24 hours, suggests a lack of strong support behind the recent recovery.
In conclusion, traders are facing a “trick-or-treat” scenario as October draws to a close. While ETF delays, sluggish capital inflows, and weak technical indicators may keep XRP under pressure, the prospect of a significant ETF decision just before Halloween holds the potential for a positive surprise.
