Crypto

Bitcoin’s 4-Year Cycle Concludes? Bitwise CIO Predicts a Safer Market as Inflows Increase and Altcoin Activity Grows

Cryptocurrency Market Evolution: A New Era of Growth

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The Changing Landscape of Bitcoin’s Market Cycle

Historically, Bitcoin’s value has adhered to a four-year cycle, characterized by halving events that typically precipitate bull markets followed by corrections. However, this pattern is reportedly becoming obsolete, as noted by Matt Hougan, the Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise Asset Management. Hougan suggests that the current market dynamics have transcended the traditional cycle, ushering in a new phase of cryptocurrency development.

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Shifts in Market Dynamics: Institutional Inflows and ETF Demand

Instead of volatility triggered by halving events, the market is now being shaped by enduring capital inflows and advancements in regulatory frameworks. The introduction of U.S.-approved spot Bitcoin ETFs has been a game-changer, with over $14 billion in net inflows. This shift enables mainstream investors to participate in the crypto market without the need to manage private keys or utilize exchanges. Hougan emphasizes that institutional entities, such as pension and hedge funds, are establishing robust positions, thus diminishing the market’s dependence on retail speculation.

Adding further momentum, the GENIUS Act, enacted in early 2025, provides transparent guidelines for cryptocurrency operations in the United States. This regulatory clarity has bolstered institutional confidence, facilitating strategic investments in both Bitcoin and Ethereum. According to BeaconScan, Ethereum has seen over 33 million ETH staked, reflecting robust institutional engagement.

The Upsurge of Altcoins: XRP’s Rising Influence

With market cycles becoming increasingly unpredictable, investors are turning their attention to altcoins that offer tangible real-world applications. XRP stands out in this context, having re-emerged as a formidable player despite its protracted legal challenges with the SEC. The altcoin’s adoption in cross-border payments, alongside support from international financial institutions, including interest from the UAE, positions XRP as a key altcoin to monitor. Analysts speculate that XRP could exceed $5 in the upcoming cycle, driven by its enterprise utility and global appeal.

Hougan predicts that 2026 could be a pivotal year for the cryptocurrency market, marked not by volatile spikes but by consistent and sustainable growth. For investors, this could mean a strategic shift from timing market cycles to focusing on long-term trends, potentially representing the most significant adaptation within the crypto sphere.

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Emma Horvath

After graduating Communication and Media Studies MA in Eötvös Loránd University, Emma started to realize that her childhood dream as a creative news reporter committed to find dynamic journalism stories. I'm a passionate journalist with a keen interest in the fast-evolving world of cryptocurrencies. I've been reporting on the latest developments in the crypto industry for several years now, covering breaking news and providing insights on how the market is trending. I'm adept at analyzing daily market movements, researching ICOs, and keeping track of the latest innovations in blockchain technology. My expertise in the space makes her a trusted voice in the crypto community. Whether it's the latest Bitcoin price movements or the launch of a new DeFi platform, I am always at the forefront, bringing her readers the most up-to-date and informative news.

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