Comprehensive Analysis on Bitcoin’s Evolving Price Patterns
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Exploring Bitcoin’s Historical Price Movements
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Since its inception, Bitcoin’s price has been observed to follow a cyclical pattern, characterized by distinct phases of upward, lateral, and downward movements. Recently, this well-established cycle theory seems to be challenged as Bitcoin starts to defy traditional trends.
Ki Young Ju, the founder of CryptoQuant, initially declared the end of Bitcoin’s bull cycle in March 2025. However, he has since revisited his analysis, suggesting that Bitcoin might deviate from its usual cyclical behavior. Another on-chain expert on the X platform has provided a compelling perspective on Bitcoin’s cyclical nature.
Is Bitcoin on the Brink of an Unprecedented Cycle?
The pseudonymous on-chain analyst, Darkfost, shared insights on X regarding the current market cycle and Bitcoin’s potential departure from its usual fractal cycle dynamics. According to this analyst, while the present cycle might differ from historical patterns, the deviation may not be as drastic as some investors anticipate.
Darkfost’s analysis highlights a chart that integrates crucial macroeconomic data with Bitcoin’s price trends. The analyst emphasizes that Bitcoin has not previously navigated such challenging market conditions for risk assets.
Darkfost pointed out the impact of elevated interest rates set by the US Federal Reserve. Despite the appeal of secure investment options with high returns, Bitcoin has achieved two new all-time highs within the current cycle. The analyst specifically referenced the state of Treasury yields, noting:
“Why would major financial players, particularly institutions, choose to embrace risk when they can secure a safe 5% yield devoid of significant risk? What stands out is the US2Y’s surpassing of long-term yields, an anomaly with historical significance.”
Darkfost further asserted that although liquidity has not fully shifted towards risk assets, Bitcoin has still demonstrated remarkable performance over the past year. Additionally, the reelection of U.S. President Donald Trump introduces an element of unpredictability to the market. While Bitcoin presently remains within a typical cycle, Darkfost speculates that improved macro conditions this year extending into 2026 might usher in the first truly unique cycle.
Current Bitcoin Price Overview
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is valued at approximately $94,752, marking a slight 0.5% decline over the past 24 hours.
The price of BTC on the daily timeframe | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
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